Current:Home > NewsHere's where inflation stands today — and why it's raising hope about the economy -EverVision Finance
Here's where inflation stands today — and why it's raising hope about the economy
View
Date:2025-04-27 16:13:38
Inflation got a little higher last month — but not enough to set off alarms.
Consumer prices in July were up 3.2% from a year ago, according to data released Thursday, driven in part by rising rent, gas and grocery prices. The increase came after the annual inflation rate had fallen steadily for the previous 12 months.
Despite the rise in the headline rate, details in the report show inflation continuing to moderate. Stocks rallied on the news, which bolstered hopes for a "soft landing," in which the Federal Reserve brings inflation under control without tipping the economy into recession.
Here are four things to know about the latest report on inflation.
What was so encouraging about the latest inflation report?
Although consumer prices rose more in July on an annual basis than they did in June, that shouldn't be read as inflation gaining steam. Rather, it's the result of a single month of flat prices a year ago dropping out of the calculation.
Focusing on more recent months shows price hikes continuing to moderate. In fact, over the last three months, prices have climbed at an annual rate of just under 2%. And some prices are actually coming down.
So what is up — and what is down in price?
Goods overall are getting cheaper, with some exceptions like gasoline and groceries.
Used car prices were down last month, and they are expected to keep falling. Air fares dropped more than 8% in July for the second month in a row.
Rent is still going up, but not as fast as it had been. The economy is also seeing a moderation in the price of services – things like getting your car fixed or going to the dentist.
Service prices are largely driven by wages, so they tend to be stickier than other prices. The big question is whether service inflation will come down enough to bring overall inflation under control.
Why is Wall Street so encouraged about inflation?
The inflation data was within what Wall Street had forecast, and it reinforces hope that inflation is easing.
At the same time, other recent data is showing a sturdier economy than many had expected. The labor market, in particular, is holding up well despite the Fed's aggressive increases in interest rates since last year.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average jumped more than 400 points in the first hour of trading Thursday, although most of those gains were later reversed. The Dow closed up 52 points, or 0.15%.
Stephen Juneau, a senior economist at Bank of America, says he's encouraged about the trajectory of inflation.
"I think the direction of travel right now is really moving in the right direction, and is encouraging on the inflation front," Juneau said.
How could the inflation data impact the Fed's thinking?
Even before Thursday's inflation news, markets were betting the Fed would leave interest rates unchanged at its next meeting after raising rates aggressively since last year.
Oddsmakers see that as even more likely after this report.
But nothing's certain and additional economic data will determine the Fed's next action. The Fed doesn't meet until late September and there are still areas of concern, including higher oil prices which are driving up prices at the gas pump.
How could inflation impact households?
Although inflation is easing, it's still pretty high. Even if the Fed doesn't raise rates higher, they're likely to remain elevated for an extended period.
That has an impact on many people's pocketbooks since households are paying more for mortgages and credit cards, for example.
And the economy may be looking sturdier, but there's still a risk the U.S. could enter a recession.
China's economy, for example, is showing signs of slowing down significantly, which could impact the global economy at a time when the U.S. is taking a tougher stance against the Asian country.
veryGood! (39714)
Related
- The Daily Money: Spending more on holiday travel?
- $50M wrongful conviction case highlights decades of Chicago police forced confessions
- Think cicadas are weird? Check out superfans, who eat the bugs, use them in art and even striptease
- NBA great Jerry West wasn't just the logo. He was an ally for Black players
- Current, future North Carolina governor’s challenge of power
- Explosions heard as Maine police deal with armed individual
- Charles Barkley says he will retire from television after 2024-25 NBA season
- Robert Pattinson, Adam DeVine and More Stars Celebrating Their First Father's Day in 2024
- South Korea's acting president moves to reassure allies, calm markets after Yoon impeachment
- Princess Kate making public return amid cancer battle, per Kensington Palace
Ranking
- A Mississippi company is sentenced for mislabeling cheap seafood as premium local fish
- Waffle House servers are getting a raise — to $3 an hour
- New Jersey Sen. Bob Menendez's strategy of blaming his wife in bribery trial may have pitfalls
- 'Predator catchers' cover the USA, live-streaming their brand of vigilante justice
- Tree trimmer dead after getting caught in wood chipper at Florida town hall
- Biden preparing to offer legal status to undocumented immigrants who have lived in U.S. for 10 years
- Don’t take all your cash with you to the beach and other tips to avoid theft during a Hawaii holiday
- New York Gov. Kathy Hochul wrongly says Buffalo supermarket killer used a bump stock
Recommendation
The city of Chicago is ordered to pay nearly $80M for a police chase that killed a 10
Taylor Swift's Eras Tour Cover of This Calvin Harris Song Is What You Came For
Firefighter killed in explosion while battling front end loader fire in Southern California
Residents, communities preparing for heat wave that will envelop Midwest, Northeast next week
Could your smelly farts help science?
Here's what Pat Sajak is doing next after 'Wheel of Fortune' exit
Much of U.S. braces for extreme weather, from southern heat wave to possible snow in the Rockies
The 'Bridgerton' pair no one is talking about: Lady Whistledown and Queen Charlotte